Abstract
BACKGROUND: Residual cancer cells remaining after chemotherapy may have more aggressive behavior that promotes recurrence or metastasis, and which patients would benefit from subsequent additional treatment is controversial. The purpose of our study was to evaluate the prognostic value of the preoperative radiomics features of computed tomography (CT) imaging in breast cancer (BC) patients with residual tumors after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). METHODS: Post-NAC CT images were reviewed from 114 patients who had received breast surgery and had residual breast tumors. The association of the 110 radiomics features derived from CT images with 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) was assessed by log-rank test in the training cohort, resulting in 13 prognostic radiomics features. RESULTS: We constructed a radiomics signature consisting of four selected features by using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis, which performed well in the discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.67-0.89) and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.59-0.87) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Radiomics nomogram, incorporating the radiomics signature with the conventional clinical variables, also performed well in the two cohorts (training cohort: AUC, 0.84; validation cohort: AUC, 0.82). Moreover, we found that the high-risk patients determined by our radiomics nomogram could benefit from postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy, while the low-risk and total patient groups could not. CONCLUSIONS: Our novel radiomics nomogram is a promising and favorable prognostic biomarker for preoperatively predicting survival outcomes and may aid in clinical decision-making in BC patients with residual tumors after NAC.