Abstract
Objective.Precision radiation therapy requires managing motions of organs at risk that occur during treatment. While methods have been developed for real-time respiratory motion tracking, non-breathing intra-fractional variations (including gastric contractile motion) have seen little attention to date. The purpose of this study is to develop a cyclic gastric contractile motion prediction model to support real-time management during radiotherapy.Approach. The observed short-term reproducibility of gastric contractile motion permitted development of a prediction model that (1) extracts gastric contraction motion phases from few minutes of golden angle stack of stars scanning (at patient positioning), (2) estimate gastric phase of real-time sampled data acquired during treatment delivery to these reconstructed phases and (3) predicting future gastric phase by linear extrapolation using estimation results from step 2 to account for processing and system latency times. Model was evaluated on three parameters including training time window for step 1, number of spokes for real-time sampling data in step 2 and future prediction time. Mainresults. The model was tested on a population of 20 min data samples from 25 scans from 15 patients. The mean prediction error with 10 spokes and 2 min training was 0.3 ± 0.1 mm (0.1-0.7 mm) with 5.1 s future time, slowly rising to 0.6 ± 0.2 mm (0.2-1.1 mm) for 6.8 s future time and then increasing rapidly for longer forward predictions, for an average 3.6 ± 0.5 mm (2.8-4.7 mm) HD95 of gastric motion. Results showed that reducing of train time window (5-2 min) does not influence the prediction performance, while using 5 spokes increased prediction errors.Significance. The proposed gastric motion prediction model has sufficiently accurate prediction performance to allow for sub-millimeter accuracy while allowing sufficient time for data processing and machine interaction and shows the potential for clinical implementation to support stomach motion tracking during radiotherapy.