Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Brain atrophy is a critical biomarker of disease progression and treatment response in neurodegenerative diseases such as multiple sclerosis (MS). Confounding factors such as inconsistent imaging acquisitions hamper the accurate measurement of brain atrophy in the clinic. This study aims to develop and validate a robust deep learning model to overcome these challenges; and to evaluate its impact on the measurement of disease progression. METHODS: Voxel-wise pseudo-atrophy labels were generated using SIENA, a widely adopted tool for the measurement of brain atrophy in MS. Deformation maps were produced for 195 pairs of longitudinal 3D T1 scans from patients with MS. A 3D U-Net, namely DeepBVC, was specifically developed overcome common variances in resolution, signal-to-noise ratio and contrast ratio between baseline and follow up scans. The performance of DeepBVC was compared against SIENA using McLaren test-retest dataset and 233 in-house MS subjects with MRI from multiple time points. Clinical evaluation included disability assessment with the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and traditional imaging metrics such as lesion burden. RESULTS: For 3 subjects in test-retest experiments, the median percent brain volume change (PBVC) for DeepBVC and SIENA was 0.105 vs. 0.198% (subject 1), 0.061 vs. 0.084% (subject 2), 0.104 vs. 0.408% (subject 3). For testing consistency across multiple time points in individual MS subjects, the mean (± standard deviation) PBVC difference of DeepBVC and SIENA were 0.028% (± 0.145%) and 0.031% (±0.154%), respectively. The linear correlation with baseline T2 lesion volume were r = -0.288 (p < 0.05) and r = -0.249 (p < 0.05) for DeepBVC and SIENA, respectively. There was no significant correlation of disability progression with PBVC as estimated by either method (p = 0.86, p = 0.84). DISCUSSION: DeepBVC is a deep learning powered brain volume change estimation method for assessing brain atrophy used T1-weighted images. Compared to SIENA, DeepBVC demonstrates superior performance in reproducibility and in the context of common clinical scan variances such as imaging contrast, voxel resolution, random bias field, and signal-to-noise ratio. Enhanced measurement robustness, automation, and processing speed of DeepBVC indicate its potential for utilisation in both research and clinical environments for monitoring disease progression and, potentially, evaluating treatment effectiveness.