Abstract
Heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) are major greenhouse gas emitters, and liquefied natural gas (LNG)-powered HDVs have emerged as a promising low-carbon alternative. However, their real-world emission performance and mitigation potential remain insufficiently studied, necessitating the characterization of LNG container trucks' on-road CO(2) emissions via advanced sensing technologies. To characterize HDVs' emission characteristics, real-driving emissions from China VI LNG and diesel-powered container trucks were measured employing portable emissions measurement systems (PEMS). The results reveal that high CO(2) emissions predominantly occur during low- to medium-speed acceleration and at speeds above 40 km/h with an acceleration exceeding 0.3 m/s(2) on highways, whereas emissions on port roads are more dispersed. A third-degree polynomial function fits emissions well with vehicle-specific power (VSP). Engine parameters mainly influence CO(2) emissions for LNG trucks, while VSP and acceleration significantly impact diesel trucks. The Random Forest model achieves superior prediction accuracy, particularly in highway scenarios, and significantly better CO(2) forecasting for LNG-powered trucks. These findings validate the effectiveness of PEMS-based sensing in characterizing low-carbon HDVs' real-world emissions. The integration of multi-source sensor data and machine learning also provides a reference for intelligent sensing in transportation environmental monitoring.