Abstract
This article addresses anomaly detection in multichannel spatiotemporal data under strict low-false-alarm constraints (e.g., 1% False Positive Rate, FPR), a requirement essential for safety-critical applications such as signal interference monitoring in sensor networks. We introduce a lightweight, interpretable pipeline that deliberately avoids deep learning dependencies, implemented solely in NumPy and scikit-learn. The core innovation lies in fusing three complementary anomaly signals in an ensemble: (i) Principal Component Analysis (PCA) Reconstruction Error (MSE) to capture global structure deviations, (ii) Local Outlier Factor (LOF) on residual maps to detect local rarity, and (iii) Monte Carlo Variance as a measure of epistemic uncertainty in model predictions. These signals are combined via learned logistic regression (F*) and specialized Neyman-Pearson optimized fusion (F** and F***) to rigorously enforce bounded false alarms. Evaluated on synthetic benchmarks that simulate realistic anomalies and extensive SNR shifts (±12 dB), the fusion approach demonstrates exceptional robustness. While the best single baseline (MC-variance) achieves a True Positive Rate (TPR) of ≈0.60 at 1% FPR on the 0 dB hold-out, the fusion significantly raises this to ≈0.74 (F**), avoiding the performance collapse of baselines under degraded SNR (maintaining ≈ 0.62 TPR at -12 dB). This deployable solution provides a transparent, edge-ready anomaly detection capability that is highly effective at operating points critical for reliable monitoring in dynamic environments.