Time to Death and Its Predictors among Children with Bacterial Meningitis in Southwest Ethiopia, 2022. A Retrospective follow-up study

2022年埃塞俄比亚西南部细菌性脑膜炎患儿死亡时间及其预测因素:一项回顾性随访研究

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Bacterial Meningitis (BM) is an infectious disease characterized by infection and inflammation of the meninges covering the brain and spinal cord. Globally, it is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, affecting 2.81 million children each year. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to assess the time to death and its predictors among children with bacterial meningitis in Southwest, Ethiopia. METHODS: Institutional-based retrospective follow-up study design was conducted among 372 paediatric patients with bacterial meningitis. Systematic random sampling was used to select eligible medical records from February 15 to March 15, 2022. Kaplan-Meier survival curve and log-rank were computed to estimate and compare failure time. Bivariate and multivariable Cox-regression models were fitted to identify predictors of time to death. A hazard ratio (HR) and adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) with a p-value < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULT: The overall median time of death was 16 (95% CI, 11.4-17.5) days. Impaired consciousness (AHR=3.88; 95%CI 1.9-7.9), seizure (AHR=2.2; 95%CI 1.06-4.45), and steroid drug use (AHR=4.8; 95%CI 2.03-11.3) were predictors significantly associated with time to death. CONCLUSION: The proportion of deaths was high compared to those of the previous studies. Impaired consciousness, seizure and use of steroid were associated with time to death.

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