Abstract
BACKGROUND: Prognostic stratification of patients with sepsis is important for the development of individualized treatment strategies. Endoplasmic reticulum stress (ERS) plays a key role in sepsis. This study aimed to identify a set of genes related to ER stress to construct a predictive model for the prognosis of sepsis. METHODS: The transcriptomic and clinical data of 479 sepsis patients were obtained from GSE65682 and divided into a training set (n=288) and a validation set (n=191) at a ratio of 3:2. The external test set was GSE95233 (n=51). LASSO and Cox regression analyses were performed to establish a signature to predict the prognosis of patients with sepsis. Moreover, we developed a nomogram that included the risk signature and clinical features to predict survival probability. RESULTS: A prognostic signature was constructed with ten endoplasmic reticulum related genes (ADRB2, DHCR7, GABARAPL2, MAOA, MPO, PDZD8, QDPR, SCAP, TFRC, and TLR4) in the training set, which significantly divided patients with sepsis into high- and low-risk groups in terms of survival. This signature was validated using validation and external test sets. A nomogram based on the risk signature was constructed to quantitatively predict the prognosis of patients with sepsis. CONCLUSIONS: We constructed an ERS signature as a novel prognostic marker for predicting survival in sepsis patients, which could be used to develop novel biomarkers for the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of sepsis and to provide new ideas and prospects for future clinical research.