Seroprevalence of Marburg virus: A modeling study in endemic area

马尔堡病毒血清流行率:地方性流行区的建模研究

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: An old disease called the Marburg virus infection has just recently started to appear in some African nations in recent years. The disease is currently being scrutinized for its potential to become a new global public health issue. METHODS: The authors of this work employed a mathematical modeling technique to determine the final seroprevalence rate. RESULTS: The seroprevalence rate can be estimated based on the results of the current investigation. This incidence may indicate that the endemic nation has an asymptomatic Marburg virus infection. CONCLUSION: This may also point to the significance of a possible asymptomatic Marburg virus sickness, which may be the cause of the disease's broad transmission. In light of the resurfacing Marburg virus disease concern, it is important to recognize this problem.

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