Abstract
BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have validated a 5-year warranty period for heart health in Western populations with a coronary artery calcium (CAC) score of zero. While the calcium score is a crucial cardiovascular risk indicator, its interpretation in Asian populations remains unclear. This meta-analysis aimed to clarify the uncertainty surrounding the prevalence, warranty period, and prognostic implications of zero CAC scores in Asian populations. It also examined the impact of sex on subclinical CAC progression. While the calcium score is a crucial cardiovascular risk indicator, its interpretation in Asian populations remains unclear. The study aimed to shed light on these issues by exploring the specificities of subclinical CAC progression in the Asian context. METHODS: Our systematic literature search, from the study's inception to October 2023, targeted studies on subclinical CAC progression in the Asian population with a zero CAC score. We searched the Cochrane Library, and PubMed. The search terms included "zero score", "coronary calcification", "zero CAC score", and "CAC scan". RESULTS: We evaluated seven published studies through a meta-analysis and assessed the risk of bias using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). In this meta-analysis of three observational studies addressing zero CAC prevalence (n=7,661), the pooled prevalence of zero CAC scores in the Asian population was 18.2% [95% confidence interval (CI): 12.5-25.9%]. A significant difference in follow-up warranty period was observed between the CAC zero group and subclinical CAC progression group (mean difference, 1.26 years; 95% CI: 0.94-1.58; P<0.001). Furthermore, the conversion rate of subclinical CAC progression differed significantly between males and females (risk ratio, 2.37; 95% CI: 1.98-2.84; P<0.001). Analysis of four studies revealed a notable discrepancy in the major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) rate between the CAC (-) and CAC (+) groups (risk ratio, 4.78; 95% CI: 2.21-10.36; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The meta-analysis of zero CAC scores in Asian populations suggested an 18.2% prevalence. A 5-year warranty period was noted, with heightened subclinical CAC progression likelihood after this duration. Additionally, sex-based differences were observed in subclinical CAC progression rates. These findings will provide clinical cardiovascular risk stratification for guiding gender-specific clinical decision-making in asymptomatic in Asian individuals.