Predictors of death among severe COVID-19 patients admitted in Hawassa City, Sidama, Southern Ethiopia: Unmatched case-control study

埃塞俄比亚南部锡达马县哈瓦萨市收治的重症新冠肺炎患者死亡预测因素:一项非匹配病例对照研究

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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Since COVID-19 was announced as a worldwide pandemic, the world has been struggling with this disease. In Ethiopia, there is some information on the epidemiological characteristics of the disease and treatment outcomes of COVID-19 patients. But, there is limited evidence related to predictors of death in COVID-19 patients. OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictor of death among severely ill COVID-19 patients admitted in Hawassa city COVID-19 treatment centers. METHODS: An institution-based unmatched case-control study was conducted at Hawassa city COVID-19 treatment centers from May 2021 to June 2021. All severe COVID-19-related deaths from May 2020 to May 2021 were included in the case group whereas randomly selected discharged severe COVID-19 patients were included in the control group. Extracted information was entered into Epi-data 4.6 and exported to SPSS 25 for analysis. Multivariable binary logistic regression was run to assess predictors. The result was presented as an adjusted odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval. Variables with a 95% confidence interval which not included one were considered statistically significant. RESULT: A total of 372 (124 cases and 248 controls) patients were included in the study. Multivariable analysis revealed age ≥ 65 years (AOR = 2.62, 95% CI = 1.33-5.14), having shortness of breath (AOR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.02-3.44), fatigue (AOR 1.78, 95% CI = 1.09-2.90), altered consciousness (AOR 3.02, 95% CI = 1.40, 6.49), diabetic Mellitus (AOR = 2.79, 95% CI = 1.16-6.73), chronic cerebrovascular disease (AOR = 2.1, 95% CI = 1.23, 3.88) were found to be predictors of death. CONCLUSION: Older age, shortness of breath, fatigue, altered consciousness, and comorbidity were predictors of death in Severe COVID-19 patients.

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