Abstract
BACKGROUND: The study compared the referral path, the first two-year clinical outcomes, and the first five-year radiographic outcomes between seronegative patients (SNPs) from a recent-onset rheumatoid arthritis dynamic cohort initiated in 2004 and seropositive patients (SPPs). Predictors of incidental erosive disease were investigated. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Up to March 2023, one independent observer reviewed the charts from 188 patients with at least two years of clinical assessments and up to five years of annual radiographic assessments. SNPs were defined when baseline RF and ACPA serum titers were within local normal ranges. The erosive disease was defined on hand and/or foot radiographs when at least one unequivocal cortical bone defect was detected. The incidental erosive disease was defined in baseline erosive disease-free patients who developed erosions at follow-ups. Multivariate Cox regression analyses identified hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for factors to predict incidental erosive disease. RESULTS: There were 17 (9%) SNPs, and they had a shorter time from symptoms onset to first physician evaluation, visited a lower number of physicians, and received less intensive treatment at referral and during the first years of follow-up than SPPs. Also, they had fewer 0-66 swollen joints and were less frequently persistent on therapy. The erosive disease was detected only in SPPs, and its frequency increased from 10.1% at baseline to 36.1% at the five-year radiographic assessment. There were 53 (31.4%) patients with incidental erosive disease, and differences between SPPs and SNPs were statistically significant at the feet location. Incidental erosive disease was predicted by baseline ACPA, ESR, substantial morning stiffness, and cumulative CRP. CONCLUSIONS: SNPs showed mild differences in their referral path and clinical outcomes compared to SPPs. However, erosive disease was detected only in SPPs and was predicted by baseline and cumulative clinical and serologic variables.