Incidence of tuberculosis and the predictive value of ELISPOT and Mantoux tests in Gambian case contacts

冈比亚病例接触者结核病发病率及 ELISPOT 和 Mantoux 检测的预测价值

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作者:Philip C Hill, Dolly J Jackson-Sillah, Annette Fox, Roger H Brookes, Bouke C de Jong, Moses D Lugos, Ifedayo M Adetifa, Simon A Donkor, Alex M Aiken, Stephen R Howie, Tumani Corrah, Keith P McAdam, Richard A Adegbola

Background

Studies of Tuberculosis (TB) case contacts are increasingly being utilised for understanding the relationship between M. tuberculosis and the human host and for assessing new interventions and diagnostic tests. We aimed to identify the incidence rate of new TB cases among TB contacts and to relate this to their initial Mantoux and ELISPOT test

Conclusions

The incidence rate of TB disease in Gambian TB case contacts, after screening for co-prevalent cases, was 603/100,000 person years. Since initial ELISPOT test and Mantoux tests were each positive in only just over half of cases, but 71% were positive by one or other test, positivity by either might be the best indication for preventive treatment. These data do not support the replacement of the Mantoux test by an ELISPOT test in The Gambia or similar settings.

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