Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Burden in Infants in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Impact of All-Infant RSV Protection: A Modeling Study

沙特阿拉伯王国婴儿呼吸道合胞病毒 (RSV) 负担及全婴儿 RSV 防护的影响:一项建模研究

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作者:Adel Alharbi, Abdullah Yousef, Amal Zubani, Mohammad Alzahrani, Mohammad Al-Hindi, Saleh Alharbi, Turki Alahmadi, Hana Alabdulkarim, Paulina Kazmierska, Matthieu Beuvelet5

Conclusion

Compared with current SoP, an nirsevimab immunoprophylaxis strategy in the KSA for all infants during their first RSV season was estimated to dramatically decrease healthcare resource use, and economic burden associated with RSV.

Methods

The burden of RSV-induced health events and related costs under the current standard of practice (SoP) and the impact of universal immunoprophylaxis with nirsevimab was estimated using a static decision-analytic model in a cohort of infants experiencing their first RSV season in the KSA. The model estimated hospital admissions (including pediatric intensive care unit [PICU] admissions and mechanical ventilation [MV]), emergency room (ER) visits, primary care (PC) visits, long-term sequelae, and RSV mortality.

Results

The model estimated that under the current SoP, RSV results in 17,179-19,607 hospitalizations (including 2932-3625 PICU and 172-525 MV admissions), 57,654-191,115 ER visits, 219,053-219,970 PC visits, 14 deaths, 12,884-14,705 cases of recurrent wheezing, and a total cost of SAR 480-619 million. Universal nirsevimab immunoprophylaxis was estimated to avert 58% of hospitalizations (58% PICU admissions, 58% MV episodes), 53% of ER visits, 53% of PC visits, 58% of episodes of recurrent wheezing, 8 deaths, and result in savings of SAR 274-343 million in total healthcare cost.

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