Conclusions
SERPINA3 predicts long-term all-cause mortality but fails to predict outcome in AMI patients.
Methods
A total of 871 consecutive patients, 386 diagnosed with AMI, were included. Stepwise Cox regression models, applying continuous loge-transformed values, were fitted for the biomarker with all-cause mortality and cardiac death within 2 years or all-cause mortality within the median 7 years as dependent variables. An analysis of MI and stroke, and combined endpoints, respectively, was added. The hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) was assessed in a univariate and multivariable model.
Results
Plasma samples from 847 patients were available. By 2-year follow-up, 138 (15.8%) patients had died, of which 86 were cardiac deaths. The univariate analysis showed a significant association between SERPINA3 and all-cause mortality (HR 1.41 [95% 1.19-1.68], p < 0.001) but not for cardiac death. Associations after adjustment were non-significant. By 7-year follow-up, 332 (38.1%) patients had died. SERPINA3 was independently associated with all-cause mortality from the third year onward. The HR was 1.14 (95% CI, 1.02-1.28), p = 0.022. Similar results applied to combined endpoints, but not for MI and stroke, respectively. The prognostic value of SERPINA3 was limited to non-AMI patients. No independent associations were noted among AMI patients. Conclusions: SERPINA3 predicts long-term all-cause mortality but fails to predict outcome in AMI patients.