Abstract
The mechanisms inducing unpredictably directional switches in collective and moving biological entities are largely unclear. Deeply understanding such mechanisms is beneficial to delicate design of biologically inspired devices with particular functions. Here, articulating a framework that integrates data-driven, analytical and numerical methods, we investigate the underlying mechanism governing the coordinated rotational flight of pigeon flocks with unpredictably directional switches. Particularly using the sparse Bayesian learning method, we extract the inter-agent interactional dynamics from the high-resolution GPS data of three pigeon flocks, which reveals that the decision-making process in rotational switching flight performs in a more nonlinear manner than in smooth coordinated flight. To elaborate the principle of this nonlinearity of interactions, we establish a data-driven particle model with two potential wells and estimate the mean switching time of rotational direction. Our model with its analytical and numerical results renders the directional switches of moving biological groups more interpretable and predictable. Actually, an appropriate combination of natures, including high density, stronger nonlinearity in interactions, and moderate strength of noise, can enhance such highly ordered, less frequent switches.