Abstract
Machine learning methods have revolutionized modern science, providing fast and accurate solutions to multiple problems. However, they are commonly treated as "black boxes". Therefore, in important scientific fields such as medicinal chemistry and drug discovery, machine learning methods are restricted almost exclusively to the task of performing predictions of large and heterogeneous data sets of chemicals. The lack of interpretability prevents the full exploitation of the machine learning models as generators of new chemical knowledge. This work focuses on the development of an ensemble learning model for the prediction and design of potent dual heat shock protein 90 (Hsp90) inhibitors. The model displays accuracy higher than 80% in both training and test sets. To use the ensemble model as a generator of new chemical knowledge, three steps were followed. First, a physicochemical and/or structural interpretation was provided for each molecular descriptor present in the ensemble learning model. Second, the term "pseudolinear equation" was introduced within the context of machine learning to calculate the relative quantitative contributions of different molecular fragments to the inhibitory activity against the two Hsp90 isoforms studied here. Finally, by assembling the fragments with positive contributions, new molecules were designed, being predicted as potent Hsp90 inhibitors. According to Lipinski's rule of five, the designed molecules were found to exhibit potentially good oral bioavailability, a primordial property that chemicals must have to pass early stages in drug discovery. The present approach based on the combination of ensemble learning and fragment-based topological design holds great promise in drug discovery, and it can be adapted and applied to many different scientific disciplines.