Abstract
Accurate monitoring of gastro-enteric and other diseases in large populations poses a challenge for public health management. Sewage represents a larger population, is freely obtainable and non-subject to ethical approval. Metagenomic sequencing offers simultaneous, multiple-target analysis. However, no study has demonstrated the sensitivity of metagenomics for detecting bacteria in sewage. In this study, we spot-released 1013 colony-forming units (CFU) of Staphyloccus hyicus (non-pathogenetic strain 842J-88). The strain was flushed down a toilet into the sewer in the catchment area of a public wastewater treatment plant (WWTP), serving a population of 36,000 people. Raw sewage was continuously sampled at the WWTP's inlet over 30- and 60-minute intervals for a total period of seven hours. The experiment was conducted twice with one week in-between release days and under comparable weather conditions. For the metagenomics analyses, the pure single isolate of S. hyicus was sequenced, assembled and added to a large database of bacterial reference sequences. All sewage samples were analyzed by shotgun metagenome sequencing and mapped against the reference database. S. hyicus was identified in duplicate samples at both of two release days and these sequence fragment counts served as a proxy to estimate the minimum number of sick people or sensitivity required in order to observe at least one sick person at 95% probability. We found the sensitivity to be in the range 41-140 and 16-36 sick people at release days 1 and 2, respectively. The WWTP normally serves 36,000 people giving a normalized sensitivity in the range of one in 257 to 2,250 persons.